California ERC market report · 2026

San Joaquin Valley ERC sales, 2026

8 recorded sales, from the district's own records.

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In 2026 the district's own transaction records list 8 priced ERC sales in San Joaquin Valley APCD. NOx: 3 recorded sales at a median of $9,500 per ton ($9,000–$20,000); ROG / VOC: 1 recorded sale at a median of $4,200 per ton; PM10: 4 recorded sales at a median of $10,000 per ton ($10,000–$21,829). Prices are per ton as the district recorded them.

2026 by pollutant

PollutantMedian $/tRangenSource
NOx$9,500$9,000–$20,0003District records
ROG / VOC$4,200$4,200–$4,2001District records
PM10$10,000$10,000–$21,8294District records

NOx in San Joaquin Valley, every recorded year

$100$1k$10k$100k2001200420072010201320162019202420262001: $21k ($774–$60k)2002: $30k ($18k–$32k)2003: $24k ($18k–$30k)2004: $22k ($18k–$23k)2005: $23k ($21k–$30k)2006: $21k ($100–$43k)2007: $20k ($49–$45k)2008: $48k ($13k–$73k)2009: $38k ($13k–$79k)2010: $57k ($52k–$90k)2011: $74k ($8k–$112k)2012: $48k ($33k–$63k)2013: $44k ($40k–$50k)2014: $40k ($37k–$44k)2015: $35k ($19k–$40k)2016: $24k ($4k–$42k)2017: $24k ($22k–$33k)2018: $15k ($13k–$29k)2019: $15k ($7k–$55k)2020: $12k ($10k–$55k)2023: $14k ($10k–$18k)2024: $16k ($16k–$16k)2025: $12k ($10k–$17k)2026: $10k ($9k–$20k)

Each line runs from the lowest to the highest recorded price that year; the dot is the median; the scale is logarithmic because prices span more than a hundredfold.

ROG / VOC in San Joaquin Valley, every recorded year

$1$10$100$1k$10k$100k2001200420072010201320162019202420262001: $7k ($2k–$10k)2002: $8k ($6k–$11k)2003: $9k ($3k–$11k)2004: $11k ($9k–$15k)2005: $12k ($8k–$14k)2006: $10k ($100–$15k)2007: $15k ($10–$52k)2008: $37k ($9k–$345k)2009: $23k ($8k–$50k)2010: $17k ($12k–$35k)2011: $1k ($1k–$25k)2012: $5k ($5k–$5k)2013: $5k ($2k–$5k)2014: $4k ($4k–$4k)2015: $4k ($1–$5k)2016: $4k ($1–$6k)2017: $891 ($618–$5k)2018: $5k ($4k–$5k)2019: $5k ($4k–$6k)2020: $5k ($5k–$30k)2023: $175k ($175k–$175k)2024: $66k ($10k–$130k)2025: $5k ($5k–$5k)2026: $4k ($4k–$4k)

Each line runs from the lowest to the highest recorded price that year; the dot is the median; the scale is logarithmic because prices span more than a hundredfold.

PM10 in San Joaquin Valley, every recorded year

$1$10$100$1k$10k$100k200120042007201020132016201920262001: $20k ($646–$25k)2002: $19k ($16k–$22k)2003: $20k ($6k–$30k)2004: $17k ($14k–$18k)2005: $14k ($10k–$20k)2006: $18k ($5k–$45k)2007: $43k ($49–$90k)2008: $63k ($7k–$77k)2009: $59k ($5k–$59k)2010: $45k ($1–$70k)2011: $27k ($27k–$27k)2012: $22k ($21k–$23k)2013: $22k ($19k–$191k)2014: $10k ($10k–$20k)2015: $16k ($8k–$21k)2016: $16k ($1–$18k)2017: $15k ($6k–$17k)2018: $15k ($14k–$31k)2019: $18k ($4k–$55k)2020: $20k ($20k–$30k)2024: $10k ($10k–$10k)2026: $10k ($10k–$22k)

Each line runs from the lowest to the highest recorded price that year; the dot is the median; the scale is logarithmic because prices span more than a hundredfold.

The 2026 sales

DatePollutantAmount$/tCertificate
2026NOx1,000 lb/yr$20,000—
2026NOx12,261 lb/yr$9,500—
2026NOx84,000 lb/yr$9,000—
2026PM10984 lb/yr$21,829—
2026PM106,909 lb/yr$10,000—
2026PM106,910 lb/yr$10,000—
2026PM106,910 lb/yr$10,000—
2026VOC42,000 lb/yr$4,200—

Source: SJVAPCD Cost of Emission Reduction Credit Transactions for 2026 (report run October 2, 2026). Every row, with its source, is in the transaction download. 2025