California ERC market report

The state of the California ERC market

Registers, recorded prices and the spread between districts, as of 2026-10-06.

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California has no single ERC market: credits are usable only in the district that banked them, so the state is thirty-five separate markets with prices that differ more than a hundredfold. This report puts the public record in one place — every published district register, every recorded price — as of 2026-10-06.

What is banked

17 districts publish a register, and the Exchange mirrors all of them certificate by certificate: 4,920 certificates. The largest NOx banks, in tons per year: San Joaquin Valley 5,114, Mojave Desert 2,417, Bay Area 2,082, Monterey Bay 1,101, North Coast Unified 899. The statewide map · every holder.

What it has sold for

NOx is the most demanded offset pollutant. In the last three recorded years its price ran from $2,700 per ton (Imperial County, 2025) to $418,000 (South Coast, 2024).

DistrictYearNOx $/tonnSource
South Coast2024$418,000 avg3District report
San Joaquin Valley2024$16,0491District records
San Joaquin Valley2025$12,0005District records
San Joaquin Valley2026$9,5003District records
Imperial County2025$2,7005District records

The longest series: San Joaquin Valley NOx

$100$1k$10k$100k2001200420072010201320162019202420262001: $21k ($774–$60k)2002: $30k ($18k–$32k)2003: $24k ($18k–$30k)2004: $22k ($18k–$23k)2005: $23k ($21k–$30k)2006: $21k ($100–$43k)2007: $20k ($49–$45k)2008: $48k ($13k–$73k)2009: $38k ($13k–$79k)2010: $57k ($52k–$90k)2011: $74k ($8k–$112k)2012: $48k ($33k–$63k)2013: $44k ($40k–$50k)2014: $40k ($37k–$44k)2015: $35k ($19k–$40k)2016: $24k ($4k–$42k)2017: $24k ($22k–$33k)2018: $15k ($13k–$29k)2019: $15k ($7k–$55k)2020: $12k ($10k–$55k)2023: $14k ($10k–$18k)2024: $16k ($16k–$16k)2025: $12k ($10k–$17k)2026: $10k ($9k–$20k)

Each line runs from the lowest to the highest recorded price that year; the dot is the median; the scale is logarithmic because prices span more than a hundredfold.

From the district's annual cost reports, 2001–2026. The full table.

Reports by year

2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2017 · 2016 · 2015 · 2014 · 2013 · 2012 · 2011 · 2010 · 2009 · 2008 · 2007 · 2006 · 2005 · 2004 · 2003 · 2002 · 2001 · 2000 · 1999

Sources: district registers as cited on each district page; CARB §40709.5 statewide reports; South Coast AQMD's CY2024 report; the district transaction records in the downloads. Not investment advice.